Lamis Alghamdi

بعد أكاديمية كاوست

Lamis started a Master's in Bioinformatics, with a concentration in Information Sciences, at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign in January 2026.

المشروع الصيفي

تخصص المعلوماتية الحيوية · دفعة 2025

Beyond Swabs: A Mortality-Anchored Method to Estimate True COVID-19 Infections

This project estimates how many coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infections were missed by relying on deaths rather than reported cases. I combine age-specific infection fatality risk (IFR) estimates from Ward et al. with each country’s age structure to create age-standardized, era-specific IFRs.Weekly case fatality rate (CFR) values are computed from reported deaths and cases (no lag). I then infer a detection fraction (≈ IFR ÷ CFR) and implied infections (deaths ÷ IFR) for the United Kingdom, Italy, South Korea, and Saudi Arabia. Results show low detection early, but improving over time, with clear uncertainty.

المشرف: NA

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